For the fans that never miss a game. Who pour over stats and know Kobe is coming in at the 8 minute mark.

The Spurs Are Again the Lakers Top Competition

Posted: July 26th, 2009 | Author: Jeff Miller | Filed under: 2009-2010 Season, Andrew Bynum, Competitors, Derek Fisher, Jordan Farmar, Kobe Bryant, Lamar Odom, Pau Gasol, Shannon Brown, Team, linkedin | Comments Off

I play because the 37th draft pick usually doesn’t.” — Nick Van Exel, ex-Laker point guard

The San Antonio Spurs, with their off-season transactions, have once again established themselves, at least on paper, as the favorites to take the top spot in the National Basketball Association’s Western Conference…behind the Los Angeles Lakers, of course!

What this means is that the Lakers are in no way a lock to make it back to the Finals next year. Despite the additions to the top teams in the West — Ron Artest to the Lakers, Shawn Marion to the Mavericks, Andre Miller to the Blazers — it was the moves the Spurs made that really caught my attention. Last year’s first round exit was as surprising as anything that happened in the NBA last season, which was why I was not surprised to see the usually fiscally responsible Spurs take a whatever-it-takes approach into the 2009 off-season and fill in their gaps. What was surprising, was the success they had in bringing in some exceptional talent.

The Additions

The Spurs needed to get more athletic…in comes the versatile Richard Jefferson, who came over from the Milwaukee Bucks in exchange for Bruce Bowen, Kurt Thomas, and Fabricio Oberto — or in NBA terms, for nothing. The team will of course welcome his career averages of 17.7 ppg, 5.3 rpg, 3.0 apg and hope his improved shooting continues — he shot a career high 39.7% from three last season, something that could easily improve with low post threat Tim Duncan providing open jumpers. He will also give Tony ‘one-man-fast-break’ Parker a running mate in transition.

The Spurs needed another big man to help out versus the Lakers size…in comes Antonio McDyess. They were able to steal him away from the Detroit Pistons. McDyess will most likely start next to Duncan and instantly becomes his best big man side kick since the great David Robinson, despite the fact he’ll be 35 at the start of the season. While McDyess isn’t nearly the high-fly act he once was before all the knee problems, he will certainly provide the Spurs with some bulk to root the Lakers big guys out of the post and keep them off the boards. His 9/8 two years ago and 10/10 last year with the Pistons was very impressive considering he was only getting 30 mpg. The Spurs would be thrilled to see 10 rpg while providing an efficient 18 foot jump shot and solid defense.

The Spurs needed to get younger…in comes DaJuan Blair; the stud college bruiser, who dropped from guaranteed lottery to surprising second rounder, was snatched up by the ever aware Spurs who didn’t hesitate taking him with the 37th pick in the 2009 NBA Draft. I’m not saying he will one day replace Duncan, but he will certainly be an effective player and give them someone to bang bodies with the Lakers big men. I just read that he is considering sporting the #37 to match his draft pick and all I can think of is Nick ‘the Quick’ Van Exel-lent, who too was once drafted #37 overall way back in the 1993 NBA Draft. I can still see my giant poster of Nick stapled to the ceiling over my bed in the house I grew up in and I remember going to sleep every night reading the quote “I play because the 37th draft pick usually doesn’t” over and over again. I knew that Van Exel played such inspired ball because he wanted to make every team that passed him up pay. Watch out Laker fans, because I can see Blair taking the same approach and will be the driving force behind him becoming a beast on the boards, and a major pain for the Lakers.

The Matchups

Point Guards — The speed of Parker and reserve George Hill will still cause all kinds of problems for Derek Fisher, Jordan Farmar, and Shannon Brown. However, I am interested to see how well Brown can utilize his size and strength to try and bully Parker.

Wings — A healthy Manu will go a long way in how successful the Spurs will be vs the Lakers. On defense, he is always active trying to disrupt things. On offense, the things he can do with the ball in his hands causes all kinds of problems defensively for the Lakers. Jefferson might not be able to get into Kobe like Bowen used to, but talk about an upgrade on the offensive end. Kobe will have to stay honest on defense, regardless of whether he’s defending Manu or RJ, and won’t be able to roam freely. They still can bring in sharp shooters Roger Mason Jr. and Michael Finley off the bench. The good news for the Lakers, with Artest and Kobe, we have two elite perimeter defenders to better match up against the new look Spurs.

Bigs — It starts with Duncan, but having McDyess to help defend Andrew Bynum and Pau Gasol is a big help. The rookie Blair seems like a tough match up because of his strength as he should be able to bully the Lakers for rebounds. They also added the shot blocking of Theo Ratliff and still have Matt Bonner to space the floor. Lamar Odom becomes even more essential as his length and versatility are key. He can defend Timmy in the low post, run out to a shooter like Bonner, or to help box out and out reach a guy like Blair.

It all adds up to one thing:  The Spurs are back. The scary thing is, the four-time champs actually seem better than ever. Don’t worry Laker faithful, our addition of Artest will help us out immensely. Either way, it should be fun to watch this mighty Spurs team go up against our champion Lakers — and if we’re lucky, we’ll see a Western Conference Finals next year for the ages. May the best team win!

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What Laker Should Get More PT?

Posted: July 8th, 2009 | Author: Jeff Miller | Filed under: 2009-2010 Season, Adam Morrison, Andrew Bynum, Derek Fisher, Jordan Farmar, Kobe Bryant, Sasha Vujacic, Shannon Brown, Team, linkedin | 3 Comments »

Per 36 Minutes

*The idea is you take a players’ stats and average it out over 36 minutes to get an idea of what their production might be if you gave them starters minutes.

I think the rotation will go as follows:  Andrew Bynum should start again this year while Shannon Brown and Jordan Farmar will go back and forth over who gets the bulk of the backup point guard minutes. I also see Brown severely limiting Sasha Vujacic’s playing time and Luke Walton should get the reserve small forward duties. That leaves Josh Powell and D.J. Mbenga as more of an insurance policy in case one of our bigs go down. Meanwhile, Adam Morrison, the former #3 overall pick a few years ago, is the wild card. We still need to surround Kobe Bryant with shooters, so let’s see if Sasha and Adam pick up the slack. The Lake Show is looking at a strong nine man rotation for the 2009-2010 season.

This could be the return of the bench mob!

Andrew Bynum

17.8 ppg, 9.9 rpg, 1.8 apg, 2.2 bpg

If Drew was able to stay out of foul trouble, you can see how effective he can be. Even though he is maybe the third or fourth option on offense, he still puts up what amounts to 18 points per night. His 10 boards and two blocks are really what you want to see him focus on next year. The offense will come through put backs and ally oops, but it’s nice to know he does have a number of good post moves in his arsenal. He will still be part of the big three (big men) and I’m sure they will all take turns on offense. I see him getting back to his pre-injury self next year and let’s pray he has a full, healthy season.

Unless he really advances, Lamar Odom still needs time, so I don’t see more than 30-32 minutes.

Jordan Farmar

12.6 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 4.7 apg, 1.7 spg, 1.5 3pg

This will be the most interesting battle in training camp. The more I look at it, the less I think that either Brown or Farmar will take Fisher’s spot in the starting lineup, even though I predicted Farmar would even before last season. But, who will be his main backup? I think Jordan is certainly the more traditional point guard, who wants to penetrate and create opportunities for others, but he just needs to build up more consistency.

This could be the year he takes over backup duties and plays 20-25 minutes a night.

Shannon Brown

15.4 ppg, 5.3 rpg, 2.6 apg, 1.1 spg, 1.6 3pg (in 18 gms w/Lakers)

To me, he stands as the one guy who should without question get more playing time next year, depending on his improvement in the off-season. The triangle offense takes years to learn, but he still managed playing time to end the season last year without much knowledge of the offense, so you can see what might happen if he actually picks it up in training camp. I think the three-headed monster that is our point guard situation might not be ideal to the three players involved (including Derek Fisher and Farmar), but if they accept it, they can focus on going all out while they are in and really cause problems for opponents. Who knows, maybe each guy will pick up full court all game long.

At the very least he will split time backing up the point and Kobe Bryant, possibly playing 12-15 minutes per game.

Luke Walton

10.1 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 5.5 apg, 1 spg

You either love him or you hate him. The classic “system” player. Well guess what, the $4.8m man is in the perfect system. The triangle calls for bright players who can pass, shoot, and play multiple positions. Say what you will about Luke (like whether he deserved a 6 year, $30m contract two season ago), but the guy can play, and fits in well when surrounded by talent. Anyone that doubts his production — and I think he has more value outside of his stats — realize his 10/5/5 in 36 minutes puts him up there with any other seventh or eighth man in any one’s rotation…and he might be our 10th guy.

20 minutes per game is more than enough.

Sasha Vujacic

12.8 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 3.1 apg, 2.1 spg, 2.3 3pg

Me being a shooter, I can attest to how tough it is to get any kind of rhythm when you are playing limited minutes a night and Sasha only got 16 mpg last year. It is difficult to tell where The Machine goes from here. Do we chalk last season up to an off year (39% from the field, 36% from three), or did he play exceptionally well at the right time (45% from the field, 44% from three the year before, his contract year; he also hit 31 threes in 21 playoff games that year)? I think Brown might get more minutes backing up Kobe, just to make room for him, which will only put more pressure on the foreign gunner to produce in limited minutes.

8-12 minutes until he proves he just had an off year.

Josh Powell

12.8 ppg, 9 rpg, 1.4 apg, 0.9 bpg

It’s funny how everyone passes over a guy like Powell, but goes crazy over a guy like Brandon Bass. Powell’s numbers are very comparable to Bass’ per 36 minutes (15.7 ppg, 8.4 rpg, 1.3 bpg) only Powell will cost the Lakers a little under a million dollars next season, while some team will be willing to dump the full mid-level on Bass in the range of $5.8m. Powell can rebound, play serviceable defense and has a killer pick and pop game out to 20 feet.

15 minutes is his limit.

Didier Mbenga

12.1 ppg, 6.2 rpg, 1.8 apg, 2 spg, 4.8 bpg

You can see right away that Mbenga stands out for his defense. He is not in for very long stretches, so maybe that is why he goes all out and gets steals and blocks. If he got more time, it is safe to say he would not be able to sustain the pace he plays at, plus, he gets a lot of fouls, so I doubt he would ever be able to average five blocks per game. However, in short spans, he is a great back up.

He can give you a solid 5-10 minutes per game.

Adam Morrison

8.2 ppg, 6.5 rpg, 2.5 apg (in only 8 gms w/Lakers)

You know there is not enough minutes to go around and Mr. Gonzaga might be the odd man out. Unless his outside shooting really improves, he picks up the triangle real quick, and he dispels the slow white guy can’t guard anyone myth, then I don’t see him getting much time.

5-8 minutes could be earned; if not just to see what he’s got.

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Shannon Brown, an Important Part of the Future

Posted: June 29th, 2009 | Author: Jeff Miller | Filed under: 2009-2010 Season, Adam Morrison, Derek Fisher, Jordan Farmar, Lamar Odom, Phil Jackson, Shannon Brown, Team, Trevor Ariza, linkedin | No Comments »

Part III of the five part series, Busy Off-Season. Lakers need to find a replacement for Derek Fisher…could Shannon Brown be the answer?

What a busy week the NBA just had.

Sure the draft was pretty uneventful, but how exciting is it when three of the top teams in the league all make major moves and upgrades beginning with the Cavaliers stealing Shaquille O’Neal away from the we-need-to-drop-salary-and-quick Suns. Give credit to the Spurs too for breaking out of their safe shell and actually being ultra aggressive. They made a big move turning a few nobodies into one Richard Jefferson, who I think embodies the Spurs system — both in his calm demeanor and his ability to play defense. They will welcome his fresh legs and versatility. Then you have the Magic, who just lost to the Lakers in the Championship game and seemingly lost their glue guy, Hedo Turkoglu, who balked at their qualifying offer, making him an unrestricted free agent. However, they bounced back in a hurry by trading away useless Rafer Alston and promising youngster Courtney Lee and getting back Vince “I’m-32-and-still-have-a-ton-to-prove” Carter.

With the rest of our immediate competition upping the ante, could you imagine a situation in which the Lakers do not resign Trevor Ariza or Lamar Odom?

Better yet, what about this young kid Shannon Brown?

Now, was he the reason the Lakers won the 2009 NBA Championship? No. Was he a vital cog in the engine that is the new Lakers dynasty? No. So, you may be wondering why I am devoting an entire article to a guy who barely played in 39 games for us?

The answer is, I saw all I need to know that he will one day play a very important role in the Lakers future.

A big question that keeps coming up this off-season was who is the Lakers point guard of the future? Ironically, Brown and Jordan Farmar both came into the league in 2006 and were selected 25th and 26th, respectively. Jordan was drafted to eventually take over the reigns, but in his first year he barely managed 15 minutes per game behind Smush Parker. The following year was a better situation. Fisher was back in town, which gave Farmar a one or two year window to learn, grow and mature behind a consummate pro. It also helped that the Lakers drafted yet another point guard, Javaris Crittenton with the 19th pick, which really motivated Jordan to push himself, as he eventually doubled his scoring output from his rookie year.

Blessed with an explosive first step and a 42-inch vertical that allows him to finish at the rim, he seemed well on his way. However, he has yet to sustain the few flashes of brilliance here and there, and his third year progress took a hit after a December injury sidelined him for a month. Even when he came back, his shot was as shaky as his defense and his confidence seemed at an all-time low — he has yet to get it back, shooting just 31% from three in the playoffs.

Meanwhile, Brown struggled to find minutes after being drafted by the Cavaliers. An injury in his first year stunted his growth and he made a number of appearances in the D-League. From there, he got traded to the Bulls and eventually signed a one year deal with the Bobcats. After a solid game vs the Lakers, he was traded again, but this time to the City of Angels. He rode the pine for most of February, March, and April, but in the final five games of the season, Phil Jackson must have saw something in practice that made him decide to let the newcomer be the first guy off the bench. Brown rewarded Phil with a number of highlight reels as well as a solid stat line: 7 pts, 2 reb, and 2 ast in only 16 minutes of play.

Then came the playoffs. Could he have been playing for a new contract? Or, was he just happy to find himself contributing positively to a championship caliber team in the playoffs? (My guess is the latter).

Either way, I feel this is almost as important a sign for general manager Mitch Kupchak, as the signings of Ariza and Odom. I see the selling of two of their three draft picks as a clear sign they want to keep Brown. By not adding a young player, Brown (only 23 years old), becomes that much more important. Every team needs young players to sustain success. Besides, he simply showed me too much during the final two months of the season to let him slip away.

We also know PJ loves big point guards and at 6′4, 211 pounds, Brown is just that. He is also extremely athletic, can defend, and oh, did I mention he hit 48% of his threes in the playoffs? I can envision a future lineup of Brown and Ariza giving us unparalleled athleticism, the likes the league has not seen.

Granted, there might be another team who feels he could be had for cheap and offer a bit more, but I don’t see there being too much competition for him. I believe, regardless of the incredibly small sample size we have to go by, that he is at least worth the risk. I could see a three year contract worth $5.5 million. It won’t break the bank or stop us from re-signing any of the other major players, but it will guarantee he has at least a fair shot at becoming Derek Fisher’s replacement.

Maybe he won’t become an all-star, but I expect big things from the kid.

Not bad for a guy who was just a ‘throw-in’ on the Vladimir Radmanovic and Adam Morrison deal that was really only made to save Jerry Buss a few measly millions.

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Derek Fisher Does it Again!

Posted: June 12th, 2009 | Author: Jeff Miller | Filed under: 2009 Playoffs, Derek Fisher, Kobe Bryant, Lamar Odom, Team, Trevor Ariza, linkedin | No Comments »

I found myself scrambling from one title for my article to another throughout the entire game. At first, it seemed destined to be “The Refs BLEW it Again” (mind you, I was a little bitter in the first half). After the third quarter, I was ready for “Trevor Ariza’s Explosion in the Third Makes All the Difference.” Once I saw Kobe Bryant hit the first two shots of overtime I was ready to put his stamp on it with “The Black Mamba Comes Through When it Matters Most.”

I was about to flip it with “When 20 Rebounds and 9 Blocks Just Isn’t Enough,” or simply “Thank You Dwight.”

But, let’s be real, our boy Derek Fisher is the hero of the day.

I’ve been on the guy’s side all along. I swear. You can even ask my Uncle; I never lost faith in Fish.

Right before Game 1, my Uncle wrote me, “If Fish continues his playoff ways, lets hope for foul trouble, or Phil (Jackson) actually getting tired of waiting, and playing Shannon (Brown) more minutes.”

I responded with, “I know Fisher is struggling, but, he still has been to the Finals more than anyone not named Kobe and would you really trust major minutes to a guy who has 919 career minutes (Brown) or to a guy who has 24,684 minutes (Fisher)? I know Fisher has slowed…but for now, he will still start and should get most of the minutes. At least he knows the offense as well as anyone, puts himself in the right spots, and is a threat and does space the floor, even if he is shooting only 36% from the field and 24% from the 3-pt line (he still is a career 41% from behind the arc in the playoffs & I think he can hit a big shot at the end of a game, even if he’s 1-9).”

My Uncle watched the first game and wrote back, “…you were spot on with the comments on…Fishers experience. Just goes to show you that being a devoted Laker fan for over 30 years does not give me more insights than someone who knows how to read stats, how to scout teams and players, and can look at trends to provide logical evaluations.”

Sounds like my words could not have been more true. So the 64 year old wasn’t 1-9 from the field, but he was 0-5 from the three point line before he hit the two biggest shots of his career — and that’s saying something!

The last three games have been insanely entertaining and each one could have easily gone either way, but none more than Game 4.

There were so many layers to that game.

  • Questionable calls that led to our bigs getting in major foul trouble.
  • The Lakers poor shooting to start the game (33% in the first half).
  • Our huge third quarter on both ends of the floor (outscoring them 30-14).
  • The Magic had foul trouble of their own with Hedo Turkoglu picking up his fourth in the third quarter.
  • Rashard Lewis had a poor shooting night (another 2-10 from the field).
  • Dwight Howard had incredible energy to start the game that got EVERYONE in foul trouble and led to to 20 rebounds and a record nine blocks. However, he also had seven turnovers and eight missed free throws (the Magic missed 15 overall and a number of them in the fourth quarter).
  • Oh, and how bad were the calls? The Magic shot their 15th free throw in the fourth quarter before picking up their first team foul, which did not come until the 1:14 mark in the fourth.
  • Random stat, the Lakers are now 10-3 in the playoffs when Ariza gets at least one steal and hits one three in the same game (he had two steals and three threes in Game 4).

The first half was dominated by the Lakers bigs picking up one foul after another. The horrible calls completely threw off our rhythm on offense, and forced Phil Jackson to use all 12 guys in the first half. With so many whistles on both ends of the floor, there really was no flow to the game at all.

Luckily, my father and I were able to get a phone call in at halftime and did the usual:  Complain about the refs, the Lakers energy, the fact that as bad as we were playing, the least we could do is be more aggressive than the Magic. I reassured him that shooting is all about ups and downs. If Orlando shot 75% in the first half of Game 3, and only 38% in the second half, then logic would dictate that our 33% in the first half would jump to 70% in the second half…or something like that. With more shots going in and a little bit more hustle, we might even be able to put ourselves in position to steal the game.

In steps Trevor Ariza with an amazing third quarter performance. Credit our defense as well as the Magic only managed 14 points in the quarter. If it wasn’t for Ariza igniting the comeback, there would be no heroics by Fisher in the end.

The fourth quarter was as difficult as any to watch. First, Hedo went on a 5-0 run, and had me worried. Then, Dwight went to the line for two, and I figured he was good for one. That did not stop me from repeating in my head, ‘just miss two, just miss two, and make this game interesting.’ He did, and that’s all we needed.

When Fisher rose up and knocked down that three, I was unsure whether I was more excited to tie it up, or that it was Fish who came through. However, was anyone really surprised it went in? And when he sealed the deal with 30 seconds left in overtime, I was even less surprised.

Fisher gave us another moment to remember. One that will be forever remembered in the annals of Laker lore. What an amazing feeling, an amazing game, and an amazing player.

Long live Derek Fisher.

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Lakers Fail to Make All the Right Plays

Posted: June 10th, 2009 | Author: Jeff Miller | Filed under: 2009 Playoffs, Derek Fisher, Jordan Farmar, Kobe Bryant, Lamar Odom, Pau Gasol, Team, Trevor Ariza, linkedin | No Comments »

How often do we see it in sports where one play can make a difference. You hear coaches say it all the time, “a play in the first quarter is just as important as late in the game.”

The Lakers did plenty of things well last night in Orlando that easily could have won them the game, despite the record setting shooting night by the Magic.

  • They shot 51% from the field.
  • Saw Kobe Bryant go for 17 first quarter points in a myriad of difficult shots — he was 7-10 from the field with six of those shots coming from the perimeter with a hand in his face.
  • We grabbed six more offensive rebounds than the Magic.
  • Outscored them by nine points from the three point line.
  • Got 31 points and 8 assists from Kobe; 23 points from Pau Gasol; 13 points and 7 rebounds from Trevor Ariza; and 11 points from both Lamar Odom and Jordan Farmar, who I thought hit some key baskets to keep us within reach.

That still doesn’t answer what happened. How did we lose that game? If Game 2 was Orlando’s to win or lose, Game 3 was certainly within the Lakers grasp up until the end.

After the first quarter, I thought my prediction was coming true. If you remember, I said the Magic would shoot well (they hit literally everything) and win a close game, unless Kobe went off (17 first quarter points). By halftime it was clear, who ever cooled off in the second half — Kobe or Orlando — would lose the game. Sure enough, Kobe went ice cold, while the Magic stayed white hot, and the Lakers lost a  close one.

Last night was clearly all about Orlando’s shooters, just as I predicted. I said we would continue to double Dwight — we did, but this time forced him into only one turnover and although he only had six shot attempts, he got to the line 16 times converting 11 of them, and is now shooting 68% for the series on nearly 14 attempts per game — and as a result, the Magic would shoot lights out (they did, although most of the damage was done inside the arc, as they were only 5-14 from three).

So, what did the Orlando Magic do well? 

  • They shot an NBA Finals record for a half, 75% from the field in the first half (24-32); an NBA Finals record for a game, 62.5% from the field (40-64).
  • They had 23 made field goals in Game 1; 24 missed field goals in Game 3.
  • Rafer Alston got them off to a hot start by pushing, penetrating, and scorching the net early and often. He was Jameer-esque.
  • Talk about balance, not only did the Magic have five guys score 18 or more, they also got solid performances from Hedo Turkoglu ( 18/6/7) and Rashard Lewis (21/5/5) who was also 3-6 from distance.
  • Mickael Pietrus provided the Magic with another solid game off the bench posting 18 points on 7-11 from the field and three big steals.
  • After scoring under 25 points in seven of the first eight quarters, they scored 27 or more in all but the third quarter of Game 3.

Go figure that it was the Lakers who failed to convert the big plays in the end when we needed it most. We did everything we could to start the fourth quarter, hitting all eight of our field goals until Ariza had his dunk blocked by Superman when we were down only four with 4:30 remaining. We then came up with three big stops — including two key steals — and tied it up at 99 (we could have had a good lead if Kobe didn’t blow an easy off balanced runner and if Pau finished an and one from five feet over Hedo).

In the last 2:11, after Pietrus’ tip-dunk, the final possessions were as follows:

  • Kobe misses a contested three early in the shot clock.
  • Fisher gets called for a ghost foul as Rafer drove the lane and blew a lay up — he hit one of two free throws.
  • Kobe let himself get trapped on the perimeter, only to get bailed out by Pietrus who got called for a reach-in foul. We then took the ball out and Kobe dished to an open Gasol before getting trapped again, who then drove the lane, made the basket despite contact from Rashard who left his feet, bodied up Gasol in mid air, and hit him up high (mind you this is the play RIGHT after Fish got called for a foul just for playing good defense on Rafer). If you are going to call it close, be consistent.
  • A simple pick and pop for Rafer and Rashard, was assisted by Lamar Odom who showed hard on Rafer trying to push him away, but he was still able to make a nice pass to Rashard, who of course hit the shot (luckily his toe was on the line).
  • Kobe drives and gets a make up call, I guess, as Dwight moved his feet and appeared to tie him up, but got called for the foul anyway (did I mention the refs have been awful this playoffs?) — Kobe only hit one of two.
  • Great defense from Odom and Gasol, blocking Rashard’s drive to the basket, who then batted it out of bounds trying to get his own miss.
  • Lakers ball down only two with 37.6 seconds. Want a game changing play, well here it was. Kobe tries to split the Pietrus and Dwight double, only the  defensive player of the year made the biggest defensive play of his life, reaching down low and getting his fingers on Kobe’s cross over. Gasol still manages to dive on the ball, but instead of calling timeout, he tries to get it to Kobe quickly, only Pietrus was there waiting and came up with the biggest steal of the series. Kobe immediately had to foul — he converts both free throws.
  • Down four with 28.7 to go. Lakers draw up a great play and get Kobe an excellent look at three, clank. Lamar makes a great save as he dives out of bounds, and the Lakers call timeout. With 16 seconds remaining and no timeouts, down two possessions, the Lakers decide to go for three and get an open look for Ariza who rims it, a 30-footer from Kobe who hits the heel, a 24-foot fade away from Fish who nearly banks it in, and a lay in by Kobe with essentially no time on the clock. Magic get their first victory in the Finals in seven tries and make it a series, two games to one.

If things didn’t go the Magic’s way in Game 2, it was the Lakers who simply could not make the plays needed to down the stretch to earn a victory in Game 3.

I am proud of our guys. Despite the poor defense and unconscious shooting by the Magic (even I didn’t think they’d shoot that well), we still had a chance there at the end.

I can’t imagine the Magic shooting over 60% again in the series, and if it wasn’t for Kobe shooting 3-14 in the second half and the Lakers missing 10 free throws — Kobe only hit 5-10 from the foul line (mind you this is the same guy who was 153-171, 89.4%, going into last night’s game and earlier in the year hit all 20 free throws when he dropped 61 on the Knicks) — the Lakers would be on the verge of a sweep. Then again, Magic fans will point to a couple of missed lay ups by Courtney Lee in Game 2 and claim they should be the ones up 2-1. It’s tough to play the ‘what if’ game when it comes to the playoffs. Instead, you have to deal with the right now, and right now the Magic believe they can win this series, which is why the next game is so critical.

Both teams are confident going into Game 4, and it is difficult to say who the pressure is on. Normally, you would say the home team down 2-1 has all the pressure. However, it is the Lakers who would consider this season a complete failure if they don’t win it all, while the Magic would have to be satisfied just to have made the Finals, seeing that their franchise player is only 23 years of age.

Having said that, this Laker team has come a long way since last season’s crushing defeat and I think we will find a way to defend Dwight and the shooters, as well as contain the Hedo and Dwight pick and roll. Defense won the first two games and I see no reason to think we can’t play well in Game 4.

Look for us to get after it on defense as we try to force the Magic into more turnovers. Kobe and Phil Jackson will not allow this team to lose another close game. There are far too many veterans on this team to allow that to happen again.

The Lakers will be victorious in Game 4 and Kobe will have to introduce Dwight to yet another poster.

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Lakers Defense Will Win a Championship

Posted: June 8th, 2009 | Author: Jeff Miller | Filed under: 2009 Playoffs, Derek Fisher, Kobe Bryant, Lamar Odom, Pau Gasol, Team, Trevor Ariza, linkedin | No Comments »

If I told you Orlando’s big three outplayed the Lakers big three in STAPLES Center in Game 2, 1) you probably wouldn’t believe me, and 2) you probably figured the Magic pulled out a ‘W’. Right?

Not exactly. 99 percent of the time you would be right. Yet, the Lakers escaped. We all saw it. We all know it. More importantly, we are all okay with it.

Everyone is talking about how the game was there for the taking for the Magic, and I agree, it was. However, give the Lakers credit for taking the win by force. Give the Lakers credit for playing great defense in seven out of eight quarters, so far. Give the Lakers credit for making their own breaks (forcing 20 turnovers in a pivotal Game 2 victory) and making more plays, which helped win a game we probably should have lost.

How did we survive a game in which we were out-rebounded by nine, gave up 10 offensive rebounds to our four, and were outscored at the 3-point line by 15?

Not to mention Dwight Howard did something only Hakeem Olajuwon has ever done in the playoffs — got at least 15 pts, 15 reb, 4 ast, 4 stl, and 3 blk in a single game (17/16/4, and 4 stl, 4 blk to be exact).

Oh yea, and Rashard Lewis lived up to his $119M contract with a career playoff high, seven assists, to go along with 34 pts (including 18 of the teams 20 in the second quarter), 11 reb, and 6 threes.

Hedo Turkoglu finally found his form going for 22 pts, 6 reb, 4 ast, 3 threes, and surprisingly good defense on Kobe Bryant to end the game, forcing him into a number of tough shots and turnovers (Kobe had seven for the game).

It seemed like everything was going against us.

The Magic’s big three gave it their all, accounting for 83 pts, 33 reb, 15 ast, 5 stl, and 5 blk. They were 25-48 from the field, and 9-18 from the 3-pt line. The Lakers big three, in comparison, amassed 72 pts, 22 reb, 13 ast, 5 stl, and 4 blk. They shot 25-45 from the field and were only 1-4 from the 3-pt line.

Something that may have gone unnoticed, however, was the Lakers trio got more help from their role players. The help came in the form of Derek Fisher and Trevor Ariza who both contributed two threes and three steals a piece, while the Magic got six fouls from Mickael Pietrus and a 1-6 from three shooting night from J.J. Redick, who played a surprising 27 minutes, most of which were in crunch time.

The rookie Courtney Lee then decided to pitch in and help out a Lakers victory with a couple plays that I know Magic fans, and Lee, will be replaying over and over again.

However, the final 10 seconds is not what determined the game. Would you like to know where the game was really won? The damage was done way before that. I give you the most telling stat of all:  28-11. That is the number of points the Lakers scored off of Magic turnovers compared to what the Magic did. The only way to do that is to make things happen, as I said before. This is done with aggressive defense, and the Lakers did just that getting 12 steals that helped keep the Magic back on their heels all night long and ended up being the difference in a close game.

Not only did the Magic fail to convert the big plays (Lee’s missed runner with 10 seconds to go and then obviously the alley-oop with 0.6 seconds on the clock), but they also gave up the ball way too many times (20-12 turnovers, including seven by Superman). That cannot happen on the road, especially in the Finals.

Now, they did prove to the Lakers, the media, and the fans of both squads, that they can compete and will certainly not go down without a fight. The Magic are a better team at home and you would imagine they will rush fewer shots and hit a greater percentage of them.

If the Lakers are going to win any games in Orlando, they need to sustain their energy on defense (meaning continue to force turnovers), keep the Magic on their toes (we got Dwight in early foul trouble in Game 1 and fouled Pietrus out of Game 2, which directly affected Stan Van Gundy’s rotation, to the point he did not even play any of his three quality point guards for most of the end of that game), and hope Lamar Odom continues his stealer play (15 ppg, 11 rpg, 2 spg, 1 bpg, on 65% from the field).

In order to win a ring, sometimes you need a few breaks. An important loose ball rolls your way; an opponents’ shot rattles in and out; a guy on the other team blows a couple lay ups to end the game (sorry Courtney). In the case of the Orlando Magic, sometimes these things happen to you all at once, like in Game 2.

Just remember, it’s not how you win the games, but how many. Win by 25, or squeak out a five point victory in OT. It does not matter. The only thing that matters is that if the Lakers win two more games, no one will care whether we escaped a game or not.

Enjoy these times while you can Laker fans. There is nothing like watching your team round into a champion.

I do not want you to think that I am saying the job is already done (Kobe in his post-game interview certainly didn’t think so), I’m just saying we are on the verge of doing something great!

Laker Pride!

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Master of Zen vs Master of Panic

Posted: June 4th, 2009 | Author: Jeff Miller | Filed under: 2009 Playoffs, Andrew Bynum, Derek Fisher, Jordan Farmar, Kobe Bryant, Lamar Odom, Pau Gasol, Phil Jackson, Sasha Vujacic, Shannon Brown, Team, Trevor Ariza, linkedin | No Comments »

Phil Jackson is known for his calm, under control during pressure style, while Stan Van Gundy has been highly criticized for his crazy outbursts and overreactions to just about everything the team does, big or small.

The match ups will be huge in this series. You knew I was going to comment on them at some point in time.

 

  • Andrew Bynum has the size to stay with Dwight Howard and keep him as far away from the rim as possible. If he stays out of foul trouble, he also has the talent to keep Superman preoccupied and maybe use up some of his energy trying to defend our young big. More important, keeping him occupied should stop him from roaming and creating havoc. Fouls will certainly be a problem for both big men.

 

  • Pau Gasol will find it tough defending Rashard Lewis’ potent inside/outside game. Lamar Odom is a much better match up — he has the quickness to stay with him on the outside and the size to keep him off the block. Odom can also post Lewis up, take him off the dribble, and should be a beast on the offensive boards since Rashard isn’t a strong rebounder (6.1 rpg in the playoffs). The same can be said of Gasol on the offensive end.

 

  • Hedo Turkoglu will probably be responsible to help off of Trevor Ariza on defense, which means the same open looks he’s been getting will still be there for him and he better continue to take advantage — he has hit 30 of his 60 three point attempts, so far. The key to Orlando’s offense, especially in the fourth quarter, is Hedo. They have made it this far without him shooting very well (he’s only hit 41% of his shots from the field in the playoffs). He is much more than just a stand still shooter; he is vital to their cause as he sets the table for everyone and is their only creator, ever since Jameer Nelson got injured. However, he is no Carmelo Anthony and I see Ariza’s size, athleticism, and length causing him lots of problems. He will continue to get steals (Hedo is turning it over 2.6 times a game, while Ariza is averaging 1.5 spg) and should be long enough to challenge  the 6′10 Hedo’s every shot.

 

  • Kobe Bryant will be the roamer on D again. He will force the rookie, Courtney Lee, to make shots, hoping the bright lights and playing versus Kobe will be too much for the young guy to handle, although he has performed very well so far (8.8 ppg on 45% shooting). I have seen a lot of Lee this year and I really like his game. He can do a multitude of things well like stroke the three, work his mid-range game, get inside the paint, and plays solid defense. Still, he is a rookie and it is Kobe. Now, helping off of Mickael Pietrus might be a bad idea, especially the corners (he is shooting 39% from three, including 17-36 threes vs Cleveland). He has scored in double figures off the bench in eight straight games, 12 of the 19 games so far, and Orlando has an 8-4 record when he does. He single handedly outscored the entire Cleveland bench last series, so watch out. He did well against LeBron (don’t let the 40 a night he was dropping on him fool you, it could have just as easily been 50 a night), but I think Kobe is a much touger guard and Pietrus has always been foul prone (3.67 fpg vs LeBron). That means Kobe needs to be very aggressive challenging both the rookie and Pietrus.

 

  • Thank goodness Jameer Nelson is out! He killed us during the regular season — 27.5 ppg, 6.5 apg, 5 rpg on 59% from the field and hit 7-12 from three — and is the type of small, quick, penetrate and dish kind of point guard who kills us year in and year out. While Rafer Alston was a great pick up when Nelson went down and has played solid during the postseason so far, he is far too eratic to be relied upon (38% shooting overall in the playoffs; 39% from three vs Phili, 28% vs Boston, and 38% vs Cleveland). Speaking of unreliable, I know I’m not the only one who is still waiting for Derek Fisher to turn things around. He has been to the Finals and is a career 41% three point shooter during the playoffs. Before everyone calls for Shannon Brown to start over him, ask yourself:  Would you rather start a guy who has played 24,684 minutes or 919 career minutes? While Fish might not be the opening day starter next year, he will start and should continue to get most of the point guard minutes. At least he knows the offense as well as anyone, puts himself in the right spots, and is a threat and does space the floor, even if he is shooting only 36% from the field and 24% from the 3-pt line. Brown is effective, but only because he plays in spurts. I trust the Zen Master to be doing everything he can to pull as much as he can out of his three-headed PG monster. They all bring something different and it’s got us this far. I figure the Magic will be helping off of Fish all series long and he needs to punish them for it. Pau Gasol and Kobe will get him tons of open jumpers every game and he can’t keep shooting as poor as he has (when he hits a game winner, you will all be marvelling at my genius).

 

  • The benches will be important. Orlando uses an eight-man rotation with Anthony Johnson, Pietrus, and Marcin Gortat coming off the bench. Gortat brings size, energy, and toughness and does a great job in only 11.4 mpg. After last series, everyone knows about their best kept secret, Pietrus. Johnson is a solid vet who ocassionally hits threes, does nothing fancy, but is still effective. Our bench is all flash…and hopefully some substance. I always say I care less about them hitting shots (although it does help when Jordan Farmar and Sasha Vujacic can actually hit a shot and stretch the court like they are supposed to, which will in turn increase their intensity on defense), but better to just play aggressive and up tempo because there is no way old man Johnson can stay with Jordan. Also, when the second unit gets the ball in to Gasol, who usually plays heavy minutes with the second unit, their life becomes so much easier. Not to mention, Lamar, the X-factor, who paces the bench with his all around play.

I feel the guys will come out focused tonight and set the ton for the series. Both teams provide match up problems, it will be the coach who makes the best adjustments that will come out on top. I like our chances with PJ at the helm.

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Time to Step Up, Lamar Odom

Posted: June 4th, 2009 | Author: Jeff Miller | Filed under: 2009 Playoffs, Andrew Bynum, Derek Fisher, Jordan Farmar, Kobe Bryant, Lamar Odom, Pau Gasol, Phil Jackson, Sasha Vujacic, Shannon Brown, Shaquille O'Neal, Team, Trevor Ariza, linkedin | 4 Comments »

 

I know this term gets thrown around a lot, but I figured what the heck.

Lamar Odom is the X-Factor.

Role players are so vital to the cause. As such, I wanted to rank the importance of our role players, the guys that will have the largest impact on the outcome of the Finals.

 

  1. Lamar Odom – Mr. Versatile.
  2. Trevor Ariza – Creates havoc on D.
  3. Andrew Bynum – Can’t teach size, something we will need versus Dwight Howard.
  4. Derek Fisher/Jordan Farmar/Shannon Brown – The 3-headed monster, with each guy bringing something different:  Heart, speed, and hunger.
  5. Sasha Vujacic/Luke Walton – One solid game from each could be the difference in any one game.

 

Jerry West and Wilt Chamberlain had Happy Hairston; Magic Johnson and Kareem Abdul-Jabbar had Michael Cooper; Kobe Bryant and Shaquille O’Neal had Robert Horry; Kobe and Pau Gasol…well, I think most of us are hoping that 10 years from now, we can look back on this season and say those two were able to win it all because of Lamar Odom.

His performance in Games 5 and 6 versus Denver last series was insipring. The numbers might suggest that we do not need him to win (averaged only 8/9 vs the Rockets), but I would argue his good play goes beyond simply making things easier for us; he is what will push us over the top versus the Magic.

Everyone will focus on the points he scored (19 and 20), but it was his high activity level that resulted in those points and led him to be a force on defense (four blocks in Game 5). I think he also took it personal, the rebounding pounding we took in Game 4. He grabbed 14 and eight rebounds in Games 5 and 6 off the bench, helping us cut the rebounding difference from -18 in Game 4 to -1 in Game 5 and +11 in Game 6.

I thought Phil Jackson said it best in an interview during Game 5 when he said that Lamar is so versatile and can affect the game in so many ways that he needs to be active and stay out of foul trouble, so that he can have a positive effect on games, like he did to end the series. We all know, if he plays like he can, we are unstoppable. He is a nightmare match up for anyone, but can be especially tough for Rashard Lewis. LO can defend him out to the 3-point line and will not get beat by him in the post. Plus, Odom has a huge rebounding advantage and if he stays aggressive on offense, maybe he can tire Rashard out a little, so those threes in the fourth quarter will be tougher to knock down.

I know he struggled in the two games versus the Magic during the regular season (the game in Orlando he was awful as he went 1-7 from the field with four points and six fouls; the game in LA was better as he put up 17/9/3 and only had two fouls), but, to me, if there ever was a series for him to take over, this was it. The nice thing about him coming off the bench, is that you do not need him to dominate every single game. If he can pull out two or three top performances, which we all know he can easily do – say 15/10 with great defense — we won’t lose.

Lamar Odom

1st Rd 17.8 ppg 11.0 rpg

2nd Rd 8.3 ppg 8.9 rpg

3rd Rd 11.5 ppg 9.0 rpg

  • In the first four games vs the Nuggets, he only averaged 7.5 ppg and 8.0 rpg; in the last two wins, he averaged 19.5 ppg and 11 rpg.
  • We are 4-1 in the playoffs when he has a double-double.
  • We are 8-2 when he scores in double figures.
  • This league is about making shots:  In wins, he is shooting 55% from the field, 57% from three, and 65% from the foul line; in losses, he is only shooting 45% from the field, 33% from three, and 44% from the foul line.
  • The biggest factor for Lamar:  He is averaging only 2.3 fouls in wins; 4.3 fouls in losses. He needs to be on the floor to be effective.
  • As a side note, he played very well versus the Celtics in the Finals last year, averaging 13.5 ppg, 9 rpg, 3 apg, 1 bpg, on 52% from the field.

I expect big things from The Candy Man (and I don’t mean Michael Olowokandi).

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Is There Something Magic in the Air

Posted: May 30th, 2009 | Author: Jeff Miller | Filed under: 2009 Playoffs, Best Teams In The NBA, Derek Fisher, Kobe Bryant, Lamar Odom, Pau Gasol, Sasha Vujacic, Team, Trevor Ariza, linkedin | 4 Comments »

People have been doubting the Orlando Magic all season long. Believe me, I’m currently living out here and have heard it all.

Quite the opposite with the Lakers who have been favorites ever since they got blown out at the end of last year.

My fiance, Noelle, came to me before Game 1 of the Orlando/Cleveland series and told me she was sick of LeBron James. It’s LeBron this and LeBron that. All you ever hear these days is how great LeBron is. The media and the league have taken promoting LeBron way too far. ESPN finally got in line with what I have been feeling the past few days, which is it’s one thing to debate Kobe Bryant and LeBron; it’s a whole other thing to start talking him up as the best ever.

Sure he won MVP (something that was handed to him before the season started), and he took a horrible team to the Finals only to get swept by the Spurs. He is currently on the verge of not even making it to the Finals this year. I think we need to hold off on the G.O.A.T. accolades before he actually does something. Let him win a championship first. Better yet, let him finish his career before we start ranking him on the all-time list. Remember Grant Hill and Penny Hardaway got off to amazing starts as well, only to see their careers derailed by injury. You just never know.

But, I digress.

So, not only was my fiance sick of LeBron, she was also excited to see a Lakers/Magic Finals. Now, I knew Orlando would give the Cavs a lot more trouble than anyone — with the exception of Noelle and Charles Barkley — was giving them credit for, but to say that I saw them going up 3-1 or even moving on, I cannot admit that much.

Now that we are on our way to the Finals, I think it’s time to do two things: 1) Acknowledge my fiance’s foresight, and 2) warn the Lakers.

The Magic are a scary bunch and match up very well with our Lakers, even better than the Cavs. You hear it all the time that this league is all about match ups, which is why the Lakers were desperate for a tough power forward during the Shaquille O’Neal days to match up with the Tim Duncan and Dirk Nowitzki’s of the West; the same reason Pau Gasol was brought in; and the reason why I worry a little about the Orlando Magic.

All year long, my “Best in the NBA” series has chronicled the strength of the top five teams in the league and the Magic held up surprisingly well, especially versus the other top teams in the league, often leading the way in a number of categories.

They have the best inside/outside game thanks to the Beast, Dwight Howard, and can surround him with four shooters at all times. Strangely enough, they are a very good defensive team as well, and it starts on the inside with the Defensive Player of the Year.

They have the size to match our bigs, although I think if Andrew Bynum can stay out of foul trouble that would put Rashard Lewis on Pau who can then go to work. I also realize that Lewis can then turn it around on Pau, just like he has been doing against Anderson Varejao and like he did versus Glenn “Big Baby” Davis.

I did want to acknowledge the Orlando Magic fans, who I have been very impressed with. They actually came to work with jerseys and people were talking about their team in the hallways. The local media — both TV and papers — have been all over the action. They even had a “Support the Magic” day at work and of course you know I wore my Lakers shirt. A guy stopped me in the hall and asked ‘why you wearing that shirt.’ I just smiled and told him I bleed purple and gold. Then I cut him off in the parking lot! Still, who knew Orlando could get into sports like this.

Keys to Beating the Magic

Efficient Offense — Run the offense, keep turnovers low, knock down shots. When the offense is running smooth, we can get back on defense. Against Orlando, misses and turnovers will lead to wide open threes in transition.

Focus on Defense – We know who we are, and a strong defensive team we are not. That does not mean that we cannot win games with our defense. The last two wins versus the Nuggets, we managed to play active, aggressive defense and force the Nuggets through stretches of poor shooting, which allowed us to go on big runs. However, playing great defense for 23 seconds and missing an assignment will lead to open threes for Orlando. Consistent D all game long is necessary or you will fall pray to their 3-point barrages.

3-Point Shooting – While we lost our best shooter, Vladimir Radmanovic, early on, the rest of our shooters have been struggling. Sasha Vujacic is in a huge slump and is only a fraction of The Machine we saw light it up last post-season, Derek Fisher’s shot has fallen off the deep end, and I am still not sure if Trevor Ariza’s hot shooting will continue. Meanwhile, the Magic have four shooters in the starting lineup to go along with a number of guys coming off the bench. They were the second best 3-point shooting team during the regular season, hitting 9.7 per game, while we were middle of the pack (14th) during the regular season with 6.8 makes per game. We still continually get beat by the 3-ball and ranked 20th in the league (7 per game) and the Magic only gave up 5.5 per game (second). While we won’t outscore them from the 3-point line, we can certainly keep a hand in their face and make things difficult.

I still cannot imagine the Magic winning a championship and although they swept us during the regular season, I think we have the advantage in three areas: 1) Phil Jackson and Kobe, 2) Jameer Nelson, the Laker Killer, is out, and 3) offensive rebounding. Dwight might be the best rebounder, but Pau and Lamar Odom can go to work on the offensive glass and abuse Rashard.

It will be a fun game tonight and Laker fans will be scouting out the next opponent.

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Kobe is Hungry, is Anyone Else?

Posted: May 26th, 2009 | Author: Jeff Miller | Filed under: 2009 Playoffs, Andrew Bynum, Derek Fisher, Jordan Farmar, Kobe Bryant, Lamar Odom, Pau Gasol, Phil Jackson, Sasha Vujacic, Shannon Brown, Team, Trevor Ariza, linkedin | 2 Comments »

Clearly, Kobe has been as focused as ever, especially versus Denver. The problem is, does anyone else on the Lakers want to win as bad?

What was most disappointing about Game 4 was our effort. You don’t get out-rebounded by 18, give up 20 offensive rebounds, only force six turnovers, and send a team to the line 49 times without coming out of it with some major concerns.

The rebounding alone goes to show that they wanted it more. They were the aggressors (free throws back me up), and they went out and took that game from us.

Should we — the fans — be concerned?

Or, was it just a case of one team desperate not to go down three games to one in a series? We saw what happens when Denver’s backs are to the wall, now my biggest concern is not Game 5, rather Game 6 and Game 7 (if there is one). We want to put their backs to the wall again, and winning tomorrow night will do just that. The next time we have a chance to put them away for good, will anyone, other than Kobe, step up to the challenge?

I am not yet ready to say that our guys are not hungry (we didn’t lose last year for nothing, I would hope). If we do not come out hyped in each of the next two games, we will without question see another Game 7.

So what have our guys done in the playoffs so far?

The Good

  • Kobe Bryant is averaging 29.8 ppg on 46% shooting.
  • Pau Gasol is averaging 18.3 ppg, 11.3 rpg, and nearly 2 bpg, on 57% from the field.
  • Lamar Odom is averaging 11.1 ppg, 9.3 rpg on 57% shooting.
  • Trevor Ariza is averaging 11 ppg, 2.6 apg, and has 27 made 3s and 25 steals in 16 games, while shooting 54% from the field and 50% from 3.
  • Our 3-pt shooting has actually been very good: we have four guys shooting above 40% — Odom (11 makes, 45.8%), Ariza (27 makes, 50%), Brown (12 makes, 50%), Farmar (11 makes, 40.7%).

The Bad

  • Andrew Bynum is averaging only 6.4 ppg, 3.9 rpg in 17 mpg and has more fouls (49) than field goals (41).
  • Derek Fisher is averaging 6.9 ppg on a petrid 34% from the field and 23% from the 3-pt line, even though he is averaging 27 mpg.
  • Sasha Vujacic is averaging only 14 mpg and scoring only 3.7 ppg on 27% shooting and 32% from the 3-pt line and has as many turnovers as assists (9).
  • Our free throw shooting, outside of Kobe, is simply not good. Farmar (71%), Gasol (68%), Bynum (68%), Walton (67%), Odom (57%), Ariza (56%), Vujacic (1-2 in 218 minutes).

The Point Guards

I know my friends make fun of me for using ESPN’s PER rating because they think it’s a bunch of nerdy stats that says nothing about players. I beg to differ. A perfect example are the three Laker point guards who are mixed in the shuffle this postseason:  Fisher, Farmar, and Brown.

The quick run down on PER: Player Efficiency Rating is a measure of per-minute production standardized such that the league average is 15. In layman’s terms, all you have to know is that it factors a bunch of stats and spits out a number, and that 15.0 is the league average. So, if Ariza were to have a PER of 15.1 in the playoffs (which he actually is) then what it is saying is that he is playing like an average player. More examples: Kobe has a PER of 26.9, Gasol has a 21.3 PER, and LeBron’s PER is a blistering 40.9 (I’m sure ESPN’s John Hollinger, creator of PER, would probably tell us that is the best ever).

Fisher is truly struggling and only has a PER of 6.7; Farmar, who isn’t getting much playing time thanks to match ups and lack of confidence (honestly, can anyone else think of a better reason why Phil Jackson wouldn’t play him more?) has a PER of 14.8, and Brown has a solid PER of 13.1.

Also, the player’s assist percentage (estimate of the percentage of teammate field goals a player assisted while he was on the floor) is interesting. Farmar is tops with 24.4% (even higher then Kobe’s 22.1%), Fisher is at 12.6% (even Ariza is at 13.6%), while Brown is only at 8%.

It bothers me that Sasha, who was great for us last year and even closed out games because of his defense and shooting, and Fisher are getting so much playing time when their PER are the two lowest on the team. I understand that Farmar has his problems on defense, but at least he is knocking down shots and creating others for his teammates. I love Fish, and he will continue to get the minutes vs Chauncey Billups, but I would like to see more PT for Farmar come Finals; whether it is against Mo Williams or Rafer Alston.

Kobe Bryant

Finally, no article is complete without a complete breakdown of the games greatest closer.

vs Utah

27.4 ppg, 5.0 rpg, 5.6 apg, 1.2 3pg, 2.4 spg, 0.4 bpg, 3.8 tpg, 47% fg, 35% 3-pt, 90% ft, 21 fga, 3.4 3pa, 7.8 fta

vs Houston

24.0 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 3.8 apg, 1.6 3pg, 2.2 spg, 1.8 bpg, 1.4 tpg, 42% fg, 36% 3-pt, 87% ft, 21 fga, 4.4 3pa, 6.0 fta

vs Denver

36.7 ppg, 6.0 rpg, 4.3 apg, 2.0 3pg, 1.0 spg, 0.5 bpg, 1.3 tpg, 46% fg, 36% 3-pt, 92% ft, 25 fga, 5.5 3pa, 13.3 fta

 

Wins

31.3 ppg, 5.3 rpg, 4.5 apg, 1.7 3pg, 1.9 spg, 0.9 bpg, 2.6 tpg, 50% fg, 46% 3-pt, 89% ft, 22 fga, 3.7 3pa, 8.8 fta

Losses

27.2 ppg, 5.2 rpg, 4.3 apg, 1.3 3pg, 1.8 spg, 0.7 bpg, 1.5 tpg, 39% fg, 24% 3-pt, 89% ft, 24 fga, 5.7 3pa, 7.7 fta

 

Home

29.4 ppg, 5.3 rpg, 4.8 apg, 1.4 3pg, 1.8 spg, 0.8 bpg, 2.9 tpg, 49% fg, 37% 3-pt, 88% ft, 21 fga, 3.9 3pa, 8.1 fta

Away

30.1 ppg, 5.1 rpg, 4.0 apg, 1.7 3pg, 2.0 spg, 0.9 bpg, 1.3 tpg, 42% fg, 33% 3-pt, 87% ft, 24 fga, 5.1 3pa, 8.7 fta

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